Do you know any other Martin Fenin? In 2008, the then 21-year-old Czech celebrated in the dress of Eintracht Frankfurt and went down in Bundesliga history with a flawless hat-trick in the 3-0 win against Hertha BSC.
Dortmund vs Koln Free Betting Tips
Erling’s bride Haaland did the same last weekend. The Dortmund newcomer needed just 23 minutes for his first three goals in the top German league and was ultimately instrumental in helping BVB convert the shortfall in Augsburg into a win (5: 3).
At Borussia, it is now hoped that the career of the Norwegian mega-talent will not take the course of Martin Fenin mentioned above, but that of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang instead. Today’s Arsenal striker also scored three goals in his first Bundesliga game, also against FCA. 135 more goals followed in 212 games for the Westphalia!
Next Friday, the blond boy from Salzburg will already have the opportunity to top up his own goal account. Dortmund then receives Koln. According to the odds of the bookmakers, the home side has the clear favorite role, which is a little surprising given the constellation in the table.
The black and yellow ranks fourth and have not lost a home game in any competition this season. The guests from the cathedral city, however, currently occupy 13th place, but are in excellent shape. Nevertheless, the existing self-confidence in our eyes is not enough to justify a tip on the underdog between Dortmund Koln. Instead, it can be assumed that the Favre team will be successful at home.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
The transfer of Erling Braut Haaland from RB Salzburg to Dortmund was carried out this winter with great laurels. BVB manager Michael Zorc was duly celebrated for knocking out other international top teams in the race for one of the greatest striker talents in Europe.
However, what those responsible would not have imagined at this time is the fact that the Norwegian, who was only 19, immediately became a match winner when he made his debut in the Bundesliga. Only after the large attacker came on, the game at FC Augsburg tipped in favor of the guests. Three goals from Haaland’s finally brought the 5-3 success of the black and yellow, which should not hide the weaknesses shown.
Defensively, Lucien Favre’s team was extremely vulnerable again. For the fifth time this season, the ball game club conceded at least three goals in one game. The Borussia last had more than 27 conceded hits at this point in a Bundesliga season in 2007/2008 under Thomas Doll (at that time there were 33). In the most recent three matches alone, Roman Bürki had to fish the gaming device seven times, and thus more often than any other keeper colleague.
Due to the defense, which is anything but stable, it would only be logical to make a forecast for many goals between Dortmund and Koln. In our eyes, this train of thought based purely on statistics is not useful. The betting base is much more likely that the Swiss coach will put his finger in the wound before the billy goat game and ensure an improved defensive performance.
In this context, it should be noted that Borussia only had to take a third of all goals conceded at home (nine out of 27). In four of the five home wins, the black and yellow, who have not lost a single match in Signal Iduna Park to date across all competitions in 2019/20 (eight three-pointers, four draws), have kept the “clean slate”.
Although it can be assumed that the success of the fourth in the table is not as spectacular as last in Augsburg, there is little doubt that Hummels, Reus, Sancho and Co. keep all three points against the Rheinländer. On the one hand, the Westphalia have not lost any of their last 27 home games on a Friday evening. On the other hand, there have been only one defeat in the last 25 Bundesliga games in front of their own fans (19 wins, five draws).
The personnel situation calmed down over the winter. Only Marcel Schmelzer, Dan-Axel Zagadou and Thomas Delaney are currently still injured. Paco Alcacer also no longer sees his sporting perspective at the ball game club, so the Spaniard will probably not be part of the match day on Friday either. The most exciting question is anyway: Does Favre let his striker Haaland go from the start?
Probable lineup of Dortmund:
➦ Bürki – Hakimi, Akanji, Hummels, Guerreiro – Witsel, Brandt – T. Hazard, Reus, Sancho – Haaland
Last matches from Dortmund:
⚽️ 01/18/2020 – Augsburg vs. Dortmund 3: 5 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Dortmund vs. Mainz 0-2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Dortmund 2: 4 (friendly match)
⚽️ 07.01.2020 – Standard Liège vs. Dortmund 0: 0 (friendly game)
⚽️ 12/20/2019 – TSG Hoffenheim vs. Dortmund 2-1 (Bundesliga)
Koln – Statistics & current form
Before we look at the current condition of 1. FC Köln, it is worth looking back at December 8th of the previous year. The billy goats had just lost the important away game at Union Berlin with 0: 2 and thus remained in the third match under the new coach Markus Gisdol (two losses, one draw) without a win.
There followed an analogous singing of Koln’s first division football, which was closely connected to the fiercely controversial staff of the coach installed by Horst Heldt, but has now turned out to be completely premature and wrong. The Swabian-born man – despite all the criticism – actually managed to get Domstadt from the table cellar.
To kick off the second half of the season, “Effzeh” celebrated VfL Wolfsburg (3-1) at home for the fourth time in a row. The Rhinelanders last managed such a successful run over 19 years ago. Thanks to the perfect result of twelve points, the Koln team has improved to 13th place in the ranking since the aforementioned bankruptcy. The lead on the relegation place is at least three points.
The Gisdol men now want to preserve their returning confidence and provide a surprise at Signal Iduna Park. However, the away balance speaks against it, which is clearly negative with two wins, a draw and six losses.
Only three teams scored fewer goals in the distance than the billy goat club. In five of nine “Effzeh” guest games, a total of three goals in the course of the game were the greatest feeling. Accordingly, between Dortmund and Koln, the odds of under 3.5 should definitely be kept in mind, especially since keeper Horn had to swallow only three goals in the course of the winning streak and the defender of the promoted team has clearly increased the bottom line.
The only personal problem that Markus Gisdol currently has is the size of the squad. One or the other actor should be released in winter. The tables-13. instead builds on home-grown plants such as Thielmann (17), Katterbach (18) or Jakobs (20), which were recently an integral part of the starting XI. Probably the most important professional lately is called Jhon Cordoba and has scored six goals in his last seven Bundesliga games.
Probable lineup of Koln:
➦ T. Horn – Ehizibue, Bornauw, Czichos, Katterbach – Skhiri, Hector – Thielmann, Uth, Jakobs – Cordoba
Last matches from Koln:
⚽️ Jan 18, 2020 – Koln vs. Wolfsburg 3: 1 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ Jan 10, 2020 – Koln vs. Genk 1: 1 (friendly game)
⚽️ 01/07/2020 – Mechelen vs. Koln 2: 2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 07.01.2020 – Koln vs. Sporting Charleroi 1: 2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – Koln vs. Werder Bremen 1-0 (Bundesliga)
Dortmund vs Koln Direct comparison & statistics highlights
For 1. FC Köln there has been nothing to get in Dortmund in recent years / decades. It is not for nothing that the billy goats’ last victory at BVB dates from April 1991. Since then, Borussia has been unbeaten in 19 home games against “Effzeh”. In general, the most recent three direct duels also went to the black and yellow team, who struggled more than expected in the first leg of the current season.
The Favre team were 0-1 behind until the 70th minute before Jadon Sancho marked the equalizer. From then on, the Rhinelander appeared flat and surrendered to their own fate. Achraf Hakimi (86.) and Paco Alcacer (90.) finally ensured the 3-1 success, which was due to the first half in the “flattering” category from the perspective of the favorite.
Dortmund vs Koln Free Betting Tips
At the start of the 19th matchday in the Bundesliga there will be a match between Dortmund and Koln on Friday evening. When looking at the betting odds, it becomes clear that the black and yellow are traded as a clear favorite, although the guests from the cathedral city are certainly one of the most uncomfortable opponents in the German upper house at the moment.
The “Effzeh” recently won four Bundesliga games in a row for the first time in 19 years and not only stabilized under Markus Gisdol, but for the time being also removed from relegation places. The confidence of the Rhinelanders is great thanks to the ongoing winning streak, and yet it takes an absolute cream day in the Signal Iduna Park to take something countable with you.
Key facts – Dortmund vs Koln tips
💡 Dortmund is unbeaten at home this season
💡 Koln recently won four Bundesliga games in a row
💡 Since 1991, the “Effzeh” has not had the upper hand at Borussia
BVB is unbeaten at home in the current season across all competitions and is also building on the “Haaland Mania”. The 19-year-old Norwegian, who scored a hat trick last week on his debut, may be making his debut in the starting lineup. At least as important as a strong offensive performance, Coach Favre will also be an improved defensive performance.
The bottom line is that the favorite will be a success, but we would make sure that it doesn’t turn out as high as the betting providers suspect. Our choice between Dortmund and Koln is therefore the combined tip ‘Victory Dortmund & under 3.5 goals’.
Date: Jan 24, 2020
Bet Tip: BVB & under 3.5 goals
Stake: 6/10 units