Borussia Dortmund will always have a special place in Union Berlin’s history. This was ensured by the “Iron” in the first half of the season when they celebrated their very first Bundesliga victory against the black and yellow team in front of their home crowd on the third match day. Back then it was 3: 1 at the Alte Försterei. At the weekend, BVB is insisting on revenge. If the Favre team keep squinting towards the championship, a home win against the promoted team is mandatory.
Dortmund vs Union Berlin Free Betting Tips
If we look at the bookmakers’ odds before the game against Dortmund against Union Berlin, then a win of the favorite seems obvious. The 1.27 at the top of the success of the fourth in the table implies a probability of almost 80%. Nevertheless, the Westphalia should be warned, because even at FC Bayern or Leipzig, the capitals sniffed at least a surprise.
However, the strong home record definitely speaks for Borussia on Saturday. The ball game club is still unbeaten in the current season in front of its own fans. In the Bundesliga there were six wins and three draws in nine games. Just a week ago, 1. FC Köln, which is on the upward trend, was easily brought to its knees with 5: 1.
The recent results against “Effzeh” and Augsburg (5: 3) should also be the reasons why the betting providers are again assuming a goal-rich match with BVB participation. With regard to the upcoming cup round of 16 on Tuesday in Bremen, we think that a tip on a relatively scarce home win between Dortmund and Union Berlin is more lucrative.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
The young Norwegian Erling Braut Haaland is and remains a phenomenon. After scoring three goals at the debut in Augsburg, the attacker had two more goals followed by his Borussia’s 5-1 home win last Friday. The 19-year-old only needed 57 minutes to score his first five Bundesliga goals – a record!
At the weekend, the new wonder striker of the black and yellow may be wagering for the first time right from the start. Although the former Salzburg player will not be able to keep his excellent goal scoring, he demonstrably changes the BVB attack game. Haaland goes deep, claims the ball in the front line and can lock with both feet. The mega-talent is already being compared to a Robert Lewandowski.
Nevertheless, there have recently been minor discussions about the new star of the Bundesliga. This was not due to the Norwegian himself, however, but to those responsible in Dortmund, who muzzled their newcomer in terms of interviews. With all the hype surrounding the Scandinavian, Lucien Favre can of course be very satisfied with the result on the first two match days.
Although the fourth in the classification had to survive difficult phases, especially in Augsburg and, above all, defensively looked anything but stable, six points are added in the new year, which minimized the gap to leaders RB Leipzig to four points. Because Leipzig will meet Gladbach (3rd) on Saturday evening, a three-pointer against Union could bring the Thick back into the business for the championship.
The doubts about a home win are not really big anyway. BVB are still undefeated at home, with six wins and three draws, the third best home team in the Bundesliga and also only lost one of the last eight matches at national level.
Although the ball game club regularly set off a firework display in front of its own fans this season and scored almost four goals per home game, we dare for the duel Dortmund vs. Union Berlin the prediction that the victory will not be so spectacular this time.
The most plausible arguments are provided on the one hand by the compact Köpenick defense and on the other hand by the fact that the Favre-Elf may shift down one or two gears early in view of the upcoming cup game in Bremen on Tuesday in order to save grain. Consequently, it may even make sense to bet on a goal-rich first half. Extremely high odds can be tapped here because BVB, with 35 goals, is the most successful offensive after the change of sides.
In terms of personnel, the Swiss trainer can draw on almost anything. Only Thomas Delaney must continue to be injured. Even Paco Alcacer is logically no longer available after moving to Villarreal. Whether Haaland is allowed to appear for the first time from the start is still in the stars, as is the potential transfer of national player Emre Can.
Probable lineup of Dortmund:
➦ Bürki – Piszczek, Hummels, Akanji – Hakimi, Brandt, Witsel, Guerreiro – Reus – T. Hazard, Sancho
Last matches from Dortmund:
⚽️ 24.01.2020 – Dortmund vs. Cologne 5: 1 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 01/18/2020 – Augsburg vs. Dortmund 3: 5 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Dortmund vs. Mainz 0-2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Dortmund 2: 4 (friendly match)
⚽️ 07.01.2020 – Standard Liège vs. Dortmund 0: 0 (friendly game)
Union Berlin – Statistics & current form
Union Berlin is six points ahead of the relegation place in the direction of the second division. Before the season, the Iron team would probably not have believed that at this point the best climber could at least work a little cushion.
However, Urs Fischer’s team should by no means lean back, because if the capital had lost their home game against FC Augsburg (2-0) in the previous week, the Berliners would now be significantly lower in the basement and with their backs to the wall.
After four winless games in a row over the course of the previous year, the red-whites returned to the right track at the right time and are now aiming for the next coup in Signal Iduna Park. The sprayed optimism, however, is not necessarily based on facts and figures, because the Bundesliga debutant had to pay a lot of tuition abroad.
In nine guest appearances, the Fischer team only scored a meager five points. A single win faces two draws and six bankruptcies. In addition, the Ironmen get the fewest hits (nine). High defeats were nevertheless the exception. Only at 1: 3 at the second half of the season in Leipzig did you leave the field as the loser with a difference of two goals.
In seven of the nine mentioned matches in the distance, bets on a maximum of three goals in the course of the game would have gone through. In four of the six bankruptcies, Rafal Gikiewicz had to resort to exactly twice. In general, the defensive result of 16 goals conceded despite the (insufficiently) collected points. Between Dortmund and Union Berlin, a prediction of a relatively scarce home win is therefore – also statistically – not to be dismissed out of hand.
Dehl, Gogia, Kroos, Mees and Schmiedebach are injured. Compared to the success against the FCA, Urs Fischer will probably make hardly any changes in the starting eleven. Only Marius Bülter could move into the team for Anthony Ujah to act from an even more compact defensive.
Probable lineup of Union Berlin:
➦ Gikiewicz – Friedrich, K. Schlotterbeck, Subotic – Trimmel, Gentner, Andrich, C. Lenz – Ingvartsen, Bülter – Andersson
Last games from Union Berlin:
⚽️ 01/25/2020 – Union Berlin vs. Augsburg 2: 0 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ January 19, 2020 – Union Berlin vs. St. Gallen 1: 2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 01/18/2020 – RB Leipzig vs. Union Berlin 3: 1 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 11.01.2020 – Union Berlin vs. Ferencvaros 3: 2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 06.01.2020 – Union Berlin vs. Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 (friendly match)
Dortmund vs Union Berlin Direct comparison & statistics highlights
Before the two teams faced each other for the first time in the Bundesliga last year and Union Berlin, as mentioned, won 3-1 at the Alte Försterei, there had already been two clashes in the DFB Cup.
In 2016/2017 and 2018/2019, the black and yellow struggled at home against the then second division team. Once the extension (2016), in the second attempt even the penalty shoot-out (2018) had to bring the decision. Will Saturday’s fourth try finally give BVB its first success after regular time?
Dortmund vs Union Berlin Free Betting Tips
Admittedly, the Dortmund team could have caught a harder opening program at the beginning of the second half of the season. After the victories in Augsburg (5: 3) and at home against 1. FC Köln (5: 1), Union Berlin now comes to the Signal Iduna Park. What at first glance looks like a sure-fire success could become a real challenge for the title contender.
Not only that the iron team in the first leg put BVB 3-1 in their place, but also the fact that the promoted team from the capital has only lost one home game with more than one goal difference should be enough warning. Although the Köpenickers only collected five points from nine away games, they only conceded 16 goals, not even two per game.
Key facts – Dortmund vs Union Berlin tips
🔎 BVB has already scored 33 goals in nine home games
🔎 Union Berlin lost only once this season with more than one goal difference
🔎 In the previous three duels, Borussia has never won after regular time
However, since Borussia’s offensive was convincing recently and scored almost four times on average per game against a home backdrop, the betting odds between Dortmund and Union Berlin again indicate a relatively large number of goals. However, we predict a test of patience for the Favre team, which could also have in mind that the important DFB Cup game is coming up in Bremen on Tuesday.
We therefore force a tip before the match Dortmund against Union Berlin that Erling Haaland and colleagues land a victory, but this time no more than three goals are scored in the course of the game. Incidentally, it would be the very first success of the black-yellow against the red-whites after regular season, and that in the fourth attempt!
Bet Tip: BVB & Under 3.5 goals
Stake: 6/10 units