Flamengo and Fluminense decide this Wednesday, November 1, who will survive in the title fight of the 2017 edition of the South American Cup. The return game of the quarterfinals of the competition will be held from 21:45 (Brasília time) in Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
In the first clash, which was the seventh Fla-Flu of the year, Rubro-negro won by 1-0. Thus, if he wins again or even the tie will play a vacancy in the decision against the winner of the confrontation involving Junior Barranquilla and Sport, which won the Colombians 2-0 in Recife in the first leg.
To advance, Fluminense need to win by two goals. The minimum difference also applies if the tricolor can make at least two goals. In that case, there would be a draw in the number of points won and balance, but the team of Laranjeiras would take better in the number of goals scored away from home. This is because, although the two games have been held in the same stadium, the regulation establishes the goal qualified as a tiebreaker. Victory by minimum score takes the decision for the penalty shootout.
Flamengo’s recent performance
The season review is largely favorable to Flamengo, who did not suffer a defeat even in the seven clashes he had over the year against the rival. On Saturday, October 28, still had an important test before the decision of the vacancy in Sula. Also in Maracanã, tied with Vasco by 0 to 0.
The match counted for the thirty-first round of the Brazilian Championship and served to maintain the red-black in the zone of classification for the Copa Libertadores of America of 2018. With 47 points (12 victories, 11 ties and eight losses) Flamengo occupies the seventh place , last position that gives right to participate of the continental competition in the next season, although it requires the dispute of two eliminatory phases,
To face the tricolor on Wednesday, Flamengo will not be able to count on defender Rever. He suffered a concussion when being struck by Marco Junior in the first match and should stay at least a month away from the pitch. Thus, the behind should be formed by Juan and Rodolpho.
There is still doubt about the situation of the Peruvian striker Guerrero. He was out of the last matches due to muscle damage. According to a Peruvian press report, the athlete would be sparing himself to defend his national team in the replay of the qualifiers for the 2018 World Cup in Russia against New Zealand.
The information was not well received at Flamengo. However, there is still no certainty that the player will be available to coach Reinaldo Rueda. The coach has not been able to find a substitute for the athlete. Vizeu, which would be among the available options the one that has characteristics closer to Guerrero, does not have the confidence of the technical commission. Therefore, tests were made with Marcos Paquetá and Geuvânio in the position. None of them, however, managed to thrill.
The current form of Fluminense
The Fluminense had 24 hours less preparation for the match in the comparison against Flamengo. He made his commitment for day 31 of the Brasileirão on Sunday, October 29. It was not the only cause of regrets for the fans. In Maracanã, it was in a 1-1 draw against Bahia.
With 39 points (nine wins, 12 draws and ten losses), he remained in the 14th position in the standings and is still threatened with relegation. Remaining seven rounds to the end of the tournament, has four points ahead of Ponte Preta, seventeenth and first team in the sticking region.
Author of the goal tricolor, midfielder Gustavo Scarpa was one of the most targeted by the critics of the fans, who showed lack of understanding with his style of play. Responsible for creating the vast majority of Fluminense goals scored and second best in the number of assists in the Brasileirão, the midfielder risks a lot and, consequently, also makes many mistakes. However, its history shows that the ratio of losses and gains is positive. Not satisfied with the reaction of the fans, the athlete did not celebrate the equalizer. However, it is guaranteed presence in the classic.
In relation to the team that faced Bahia, coach Abel Braga will certainly make a change. Defender Gum, who has not been entered in the continental tournament, will be replaced by Renato Chaves. There is also the possibility of another change in the attack. Wellington Silva could win the position of Marco Junior and form the offensive pair with Henrique Dourado.
Flamengo and Fluminense are the champions in draws in Brasileirão. The tricolor leads the ranking of this question with 12 equalities. The red-blacks are just behind with 11. Fruit of a style of little risk adopted by the coaches.
For the tricolor, this strategy does not serve this Wednesday. The team will have to be more offensive, which will put their fragile defensive system at risk. Thus, the hunch at Flamengo is the most appropriate for the confrontation. The price is 1.90 on Bet365. Draw shows return of 3.00 and Fluminense’s success is 4.75 for 1.