The last representative of Europe at the 2018 World Cup in Russia will be set on Tuesday, November 14. Finishing the play-offs of the qualifying rounds, Ireland will host Denmark. With kick-off scheduled for 17:45 (Brasília time) the clash takes place at the Aviva in Dublin.
In the first game in Copenhagen, there was a goalless draw. So, whoever takes the best on Tuesday will secure his place in the World Cup. Equality with goals benefits the Danes. The repetition of the 0 to 0 will cause a prolongation of 30 minutes and, in persisting the equality, will take the definition for the collection of penalties.
Ireland’s recent performance
Dropped only six times in the ten rounds of the European qualifiers, the Irish make the defensive system the base of their game. They repeated this strategy in the game on Danish soil having a line comprised of four defenders protected by five midfielders, being two containment fliers. At the front, Murphy, isolated, was the weapon for the counterattacks in speed.
The strategy worked partially. Denmark had 68 percent of the ball. Denmark had a chance to take 13 shots over the course of the game. Five of them were on target but ended up in the hands of goalkeeper Darren Randolph of Middlesbrough, who play in the Premier League.
The counterattack was not as efficacious as Murphy was drawn to make way for Shane Long in the final minutes of the second half. The change did not produce great results since even when acting at home Denmark chose not to take much risk. Thus, the Irish had the chance to finish only eight times, with two of the kicks were on target.
While working at home, coach Michael O’Neill should not change his strategy much. Throughout the qualifiers, the Irish maintained the same conservative stance. That way, they scored just four goals in five games. The defense, however, was leaked only twice. If they depended only on the results in their domains, the Irish would not even be competing for the recap. They were beaten by Wales and Austria in addition to, of course, Serbia, who took first place in the D-key and the spot in the World Cup.
For the game of this Tuesday, the coach has at his disposal:
Goalkeepers: Randolph (Middlesbrough), Westwood (Sheffield Wednesday), Elliot (Newcastle), Doyle (Bradford).
Defenders: Christie (Middlesbrough), Doherty (Wolves), McShane (Reading), Duffy (Brighton), Clark (Newcastle), O’Shea (Sunderland), K Long (Burnley), Ward (Burnley).
Socks: McGeady (Sunderland), Whelan (Aston Villa), Hourihane (Aston Villa), Arter Bournemouth, Brady Burnley, Hendrick Burnley O’Kane Leeds Meyler Hull, , O’Dowda (Bristol City), McClean (West Brom).
Attackers: Long (Southampton), Murphy (Nottingham Forest), Hogan (Aston Villa), O’Brien (Millwall).
The current form of Denmark
The Danes, as well as the Irish, produced their best results away from their dominions. In their final start to the second place of the group that had Poland like champion, they have gained the last three matches like visitors obtaining, thus, the same score of the Poles in the question, although it loses in the criterion of tie-breaker.
As a visitor, Denmark managed to score ten goals, an average of two per game. These numbers somehow justify the relatively conservative stance in the first leg. After all, a goalless draw serves to put the Danes at the World Cup.
The team reached with the tie in Copenhagen the mark of ten matches without defeats. There were five wins and five draws in the period.
For the game of this Tuesday, the following athletes are available:
Goalkeepers: Kasper Schmeichel (Leicester), Frederik Rønnow (Brondby), Jonas Lossl (Huddersfield);
Defenders: Andreas Bjelland (Brentford), Andreas Christensen (Chelsea), Henrik Dalsgaard (Brentford), Jannik Vestergaard (Borussia Monchengladbach), Jens Stryger Larsen (Udinese), Mathias Jørgensen (Huddersfield), Peter Ankersen (Copenhagen), Simon Kjær );
Socks: Lukas Lerager (Bordeaux), Lasse Schone (Ajax), Christian Eriksen (Tottenham), Mike Jensen (Rosenborg), Pione Sisto (Celta Vigo), Thomas Delaney (Werder Bremen), William Kvist (Copenhagen);
Attackers: Andreas Cornelius (Atalanta), Nicklas Bendtner (Rosenborg), Nicolai Jorgensen (Feyenoord), Viktor Fischer (Mainz) and Yussuf Poulsen (RB Leipzig).
History of the matches between Ireland and Denmark
Before the qualifiers for qualifying for the 2018 World Cup in Russia, the Irish and Danish played 13 times. There were five Irish victories, five draws and three Danish successes.
Eleven of those duels were in official matches. The first two of them won the qualifiers for the 1958 World Cup in Sweden. The Irish beat 2-1 at home and 2-1 away.
Their paths returned to cross in the qualifiers for the 1970 World Cup in Mexico. There was a 1-1 draw in Ireland and a Danish home success by 2-0. In the extra game, a 1-1 draw.
The third official match took place in the qualifiers for the Euro 1980. In Denmark, they were drawn 3-3. In Ireland, the winners were 2-0.
For the qualifiers for the 1986 World Cup in Mexico, Denmark won 3-0 at home and 4-1 away. With a place in the 1994 World Cup, there were two similarities. No goal on Danish soil and 1 to 1 in Ireland.
Again, conservatism must prevail when strategizing. Avoiding a goal must be the priority goal of the two teams. Only if a goal is conceded will it be modified. Thus, the draw is a good guess option with a quote of 3.00 in Bet365. Success of home owners yields 3.10 and visitors pay 2.70 per invested real.