Mainz vs Werder Bremen Free Betting Tips
Descent showdown in Rheinhessen!
It has now been over 20 years since the goal difference in the Bundesliga decided on relegation and non-relegation. In the 1998/99 season it was four more goals scored by Eintracht Frankfurt compared to 1. FC Nürnberg that made the difference. Also in the current season, the top German league can expect a real heartbeat final. The teams of Fortuna Düsseldorf and Werder Bremen are at the center of interest.
While the third in the group, FSV Mainz 05, made a giant leap towards relegation thanks to the surprising 2-0 win during the week in Dortmund, much indicates a duel between the above-mentioned clubs. Who can go into the relegation and who goes straight down to league two? Before the possibly deciding match on the penultimate matchday between Mainz and Werder Bremen, lower odds on the relegation of the Hanseatic League will be offered.
The away game in the Opel Arena definitely has an endgame character for the team of coach Florian Kohfeldt. If the green-whites in Rheinhessen lose and Duesseldorf conquer FC Augsburg at the same time, the first relegation since 1980 would be sealed. However, the Werderans score three times, the Beierlorzer-Elf suddenly has to fear the bitter transition to the second division.
In order to make a suitable forecast between Mainz and Werder Bremen, a look at the latest results of the North Germans abroad is particularly worthwhile. After the re-start, the penultimate of the classification is namely outstanding three wins in three away games.
Mainz – Statistics & current form
For many people in Mainz, Signal Iduna Park has become the absolute favorite place in the Bundesliga in the past two years. After the zero-five had been able to fix relegation in the past season due to a hardly imagined success at Borussia Dortmund on match day 33, this story was repeated last Wednesday in the almost exactly same version.
Once again the Red-Whites traveled to the west of the republic without great ambitions and once again the Rheinhessen were in the deep relegation mess before the kick-off at the favorite BVB. 90 minutes later, the relief of coach Achim Beierlorzer and his protected was clearly felt. With 2: 0 the underdog held the upper hand at the reigning vice champion and took a giant step towards relegation.
Does Mainz make relegation perfect?
Mathematically, it can be the table-15. still catch, but the likelihood of slipping to the penultimate position with six points and eight goals ahead of Werder Bremen is relatively low. In order to finally announce the execution of the “non-relegation” mission, you need either your own threesome on Saturday afternoon or, in the event of draw, some support from FC Augsburg, which should not lose in the parallel game in Düsseldorf.
Despite the very disciplined performance in Dortmund, we would not dare to predict the home team before the game between Mainz and Werder Bremen. This is primarily due to the anything but strong home record of the Rheinhessen, who only collected 14 of their 34 points at home and, as the league’s third weakest home team, also lost out in all three matches after the restart at the Opel Arena. In all three cases, the red and whites did not even score a single goal.
The zero five have lost all three home games after the restart
It should also be thought that mentally it is often an enormous challenge to return to everyday life after an unexpected sense of achievement such as the one in Dortmund during the week and to play the home game under pressure against a direct competitor. At the weekend, we see the fact that the Beierlorzer team must take the initiative more at home and do not want to leave anything to chance in the tight relegation battle.
In the final sprint of this season, coach Achim Beierlorzer has to do without his regular number one Robin Zentner, who is injured with a cruciate ligament tear. On loan, Taiwo Awoniyi is not an issue for Saturday after his painful collision and suffered a concussion. It is not clear whether the coach will change his winning team on Tuesday or trust the very physical formation again.
Probable lineup of Mainz:
F. Müller – R. Baku, St. Juste, Niakhaté, Brosinski – Barreiro, Latza – Öztunali, Quaison, Onisiwo – Mateta
Last games from Mainz:
⚽️ 06/17 2020 Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Mainz 05
⚽️ 06/14 2020 Mainz 05 0 – 1 Augsburg
⚽️ 06/06 2020 Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 Mainz 05
⚽️ 05/30 2020 Mainz 05 0 – 1 Hoffenheim
⚽️ 05/27 2020 Union Berlin 1 – 1 Mainz 05
Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form
SV Werder Bremen was certainly one of the biggest losers of match day 32 in the top German division during the week. Oddly enough, this wasn’t even because of them, but solely because of the competition.
While the Green-Whites had to admit defeat 0-1 at home against the German champions from Munich despite a very courageous and decent performance, Mainz scored three times, as mentioned. Düsseldorf also made up a 0-2 deficit in Leipzig within a very short time and fought for an enormously important point that further worsened the starting position of the Hanseatic League.
It is no longer possible to stay in the class from your own hand
The team of coach Florian Kohfeldt is one point behind Fortuna and also two goals worse goal difference. The men from the Weser can no longer fix the relegation class on their own. Nevertheless, those responsible and the players are of course far from sticking their heads in the sand. However, it is clear that a threesome is absolutely necessary on Saturday in Mainz in order to either keep the chance on place 15 or 16 or even pass Düsseldorf in the tableau.
It will be interesting to see how the disappointing Werder team can deal with the pressure over long stretches this season. The previous week at the 5-1 in Paderborn they showed that they can get close to maximum performance when it really matters. It was also the third consecutive away win in a row for the former German champion, who even scratched the European Cup places in the away table.
Bremen away after the break with three wins in three games
Taking the isolated results from abroad, the Kohfeldt charges would be in eighth place. Six of the seven successes of the season were achieved in opposing stadiums. Only the top four of the Bundesliga table scored more goals as a visiting club than the green-whites, who won all three matches in the distance after the forced break.
The fueled self-confidence combined with the presumably performance-enhancing incentive to win justifies the odds between Mainz and Werder Bremen for the long-term first division, for whom the Bundesliga games in 1899 next Saturday and 1900 the next week will be trendsetting. With the exception of Sahin, Möhwald and Toprak, all players seem ready for action. There is only a question mark behind Kevin Vogt.
Probable lineup of Werder Bremen:
Pavlenka – Gebre Selassie, Veljkovic, Moisander, Augustinsson – Vogt – M. Eggestein, Klaassen – Bittencourt, Rashica – Osako
Last games from Werder Bremen:
⚽️ 06/16 2020 Werder Bremen 0 – 1 Bayern Munich
⚽️ 06/13 2020 Paderborn 1 – 5 Werder Bremen
⚽️ 06/07 2020 Werder Bremen 0 – 1 Vfl Wolfsburg
⚽️ 06/03 2020 Werder Bremen 0-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽️ 05/30 2020 Schalke 04 0 – 1 Werder Bremen
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Direct comparison
Mainz have competed 13 times against Werder Bremen at home on the top floor of German football. The Rheinhessen only had the better end on their side three times. The Hanseatic celebrated eight away wins and with a total of 13 three-pointers in 27 attempts also lead the direct overall comparison relatively clearly. Four of the five most recent guest appearances in the Opel Arena went to the green-whites.
Also not uninteresting is the statistics that the home team has won only four times in the past 20 matches. So, in a way, there is a curse on the host team. The best example of this thesis was the first leg in the current season, in which the zero-five outclassed the overwhelmed Bremen in the Weserstadion with 5: 0. Robin Quaison became the match winner with three goals. Will the SVW make amends on Saturday?
Odds probabilities for win Mainz / draw / win Werder Bremen:
1: 37% X: 27% 2: 36%
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Free Betting Tips
At the Bundesliga conference on Saturday afternoon, special attention will be paid to the relegation battle. While Düsseldorf has to play against FC Augsburg at home, there is a direct duel between Mainz and Werder Bremen in the Opel Arena. According to the betting odds of the best bookmakers, a competitive and exciting match without clear favorites can be assumed.
Nevertheless, we see slight advantages for the guests of the Weser, who are condemned to victory in view of the starting position. The green-whites could play into the cards, among other things, the fact that the Rheinhessen can finally fix the relegation in the event of a victory. We therefore do not expect the home team to be too defensive.
Key facts – Mainz vs Werder Bremen tips
🔎 Mainz lost all three home games after the restart (0: 7 goals)
🔎 Werder scored nine points from the last three games abroad
🔎 Bremen won four of their last five away games in Mainz
Statistically, there are numerous arguments in favor of the Kohfeldt team. For one thing, the SVW won all three away games after the restart. On the other hand, Mainz is still waiting for the first point in its own stadium after the compulsory break. There were three defeats in three games. Coach Achim Beierlorzer’s team has also not yet scored a goal.
In addition, because the green-whites made four of the five most recent five appearances at the FSV victorious and in the past 20 direct duels the home side has only had the upper hand four times, we decide between Mainz and Werder Bremen for the tip on the away win.
Betting Tips: Werder Bremen