For many top clubs in the top European leagues, the national cup competition runs rather sideline. Although you are quite willing to reach the next round and get as far as possible, the focus is still mostly on the league. The situation is probably different this year at the SSC Napoli.
Napoli vs Perugia Today’s Free Betting Tips and Odds
If the team at the foot of Mount Vesuvius in Serie A continues to weaken so regularly, winning a title in Coppa Italia may be the only chance to be represented on the European stage in the coming year. Against this background, it seems understandable that before the round of 16 Napoli vs. Perugia clearly turn the odds in favor of the home side.
Although it is a duel between a Champions League knockout rounder and a second division team, coach Gennaro Gattuso’s team is not expected to be a sure-fire success, as the Neapolitans are in very weak shape and appear extremely unsettled. The guests from Umbria, on the other hand, have nothing to lose and can play completely free.
Because the “Partenopei” probably does not want to take the risk of a further setback, it can be assumed that the former world champion will have a powerful formation on the coaching bench. Accordingly, we expect the favorite to be successful, but it will not be too high. Between Napoli and Perugia, the combined tip “win Napoli & under 3.5 goals” is worth considering.
Napoli – statistics & current form
The SSC Napoli is the biggest disappointment of the current Serie A season. After 19 matches, the “Azzurri” scored 24 points on the credit side. To date, more games have been lost (seven) than won (six).
It is also critical to judge that the gap to the European Cup ranks has already increased to five points. For the team, which in the past few years was the only Italian first division team to be able to offer Juventus long stretches in the battle for the Scudetto Paroli, missing the international competition 2020/21 would logically be a great disaster.
If the fifth in Serie A is still not among the top six clubs in the Oberhaus after 38 matchdays, the “Partenopei” would have to win either the Champions League or the Coppa Italia to pull their heads out of the loop. Because the premier class in the round of 16 against Barcelona threatens to end early, the national cup could become the lifeline.
For this reason, we expect a concentrated performance of the light blue in the second round on Tuesday afternoon. Before the game Napoli vs. Perugia is a prediction on the favorites. It will be interesting to see how the team from the foot of Vesuvius handled the recent setbacks. Even the change of coach from Ancelotti to Gattuso has not brought about a change.
There has been one win and three losses under the 42-year-old new trainer. The success shortly before Christmas in Sassuolo was due to an own goal in injury time more to the category “happy”. So far, the ex-professional has not managed to knock the goat over in southern Italy.
Because the confidence after just one win from the last eleven Serie A games (!) Cannot be really high, we assume that a potential success on Tuesday afternoon in the Cup will not be particularly clear either. In times when the Neapolitans seem defensively insecure above all, a “zero” should already be seen as progress. In this respect, between Napoli and Perugia we think a tip on the home win with a maximum of three goals in the course of the game is an attractive option.
Due to injuries, Gattuso has to continue without his defense chief Kalidou Koulibaly and the offensive top-performing Dries Mertens on Tuesday. Kevin Malcuit and Faouzi Ghoulam must also pass as long-term injuries. There are also question marks behind the appearances of goalkeeper Alex Meret and former German youth international Amin Younes.
Probable lineup of Napoli:
➦ Meret (?); Rui, Di Lorenzo, Manolas, Hysaj; Allan, Fabian, Zielinksi; Callejon, Insigne, Milik.
Last games from Napoli:
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Lazio Rome vs. Napoli 1-0 (Serie A)
⚽️ 01/06/2020 – Napoli vs. Inter Milan 1: 3 (Serie A)
⚽️ 12/22/2019 – Sassuolo vs. Napoli 1: 2 (Serie A)
⚽️ 12/14/2019 – Napoli vs. Parma 1: 2 (Serie A)
⚽️ 12/10/2019 – Napoli vs. Genk 4: 0 (Champions League)
Perugia – statistics & current form
Because Italy’s second division will be paused until the coming weekend, AC Perugia will play the first competitive game in the new calendar year on Tuesday. The Red-Whites already owe three victories in the national cup competition to the fact that the start in 2020 will take place at Coppa Italia.
In the first round, the second division prevailed at home against Unione Triestina. This was followed by two further successes against the two first division teams Brescia (2-1) and Sassuolo (2-1). Already moving into the round of 16 is a respectable success and ensures that the underdog in San Paolo can take care of the task against the Champions League participant.
In series B, the team from the university city is currently ranked eighth. Nevertheless, the former first division club craves for more. As a result of the high expectations, Massimo Oddo was released from his duties as a trainer at the beginning of the year and replaced by Serse Cosmi.
The new coach of “Grifoni” shaped the most successful period in recent club history between 2000 and 2004 and at that time won the UI Cup in the final against VfL Wolfsburg. After a few more stops, the 61-year-old “Local Hero” is now back in Umbria. Cosmi will therefore make its debut on Tuesday afternoon, which could also affect the prediction between Napoli and Perugia.
Although the red and whites with 25 goals conceded in Serie B are not the best defensive, we believe that the defense alliance, which will probably be lower against the “Azzurri”, will certainly be able to face the Napoli offensive with problems put. The goal of the Cosmi-Elf must be to hold the zero as long as possible in order to then set needle sticks as the game continues.
The outsider must also tackle the extremely difficult undertaking without one or the other key player. Especially the loss of top scorer Pietro Iemello weighs heavily, with 15 goals he is by far the best shooter of his club in the league. The attacker saw the red card shortly before the turn of the year in the 0-1 loss against Venezia and therefore has to watch as barred as Gyomber and Rossi. Di Chiara is also missing injured.
Probable lineup of Perugia:
➦ Vicario; Nzita, Falasco, Scarbi, Rodin; Nicolussi, Carraro, Falzerano, Dragomir, Buonaiuto; Balic
Last games from Perugia:
⚽️ 12/29/2019 – Perugia vs. Venezia 0: 1 (Serie B)
⚽️ 12/26/2019 – Trapani vs. Perugia 2: 2 (Serie B)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – Perugia vs. Entella 2-0 (Serie B)
⚽️ 12/15/2019 – Cremonese vs. Perugia 2: 1 (Serie B)
⚽️ 09.12.2019 – Perugia vs. Nuova Cosenza 2: 2 (Serie B)
Napoli vs Perugia Direct Comparison & Statistics Highlights
The last direct duels between the two clubs date from the Serie A season 2000/2001. After that, the paths no longer crossed. In total, Perugia leads the comparison with six to four victories. Eight matches ended in a draw. The results from history have a relevant influence on Napoli vs. Perugia odds from Tuesday, however, none.
Napoli vs Perugia Free Betting Tips and Odds Analyzed
For SSC Napoli, a cup game against the second division team may come at just the right time in the current phase. The “Partenopei” won only one of the last eleven Serie A matches and also suffered a bitter last minute defeat at Lazio Roma at the weekend.
The change of coach from Ancelotti to Gattuso has not worked so far. There were three losses under the former world champion and only one happy victory. There are no excuses for the round of 16 at Coppa Italia on Tuesday. Between Napoli and Perugia, the bookmakers’ betting odds imply a crystal-clear favorite role of the home side, which seems perfectly understandable.
Key Facts – Napoli vs Perugia tips
💡 Napoli have won only one of their last eleven Serie A games
💡 Perugia is ranked eighth in Serie B
💡 New coach Cosmi celebrates his debut with the guests
However, we do not see the second division side from Umbria completely without chance, because at least the Red and Whites are aiming for the return to the Oberhaus in the short to medium term. Expectations in the university city are high, which is also shown by the dismissal of Massimo Oddo a week ago. On Tuesday, Serse Cosmi will take a seat on the coaching bench for the first time.
We assume that the guests will tear up for their new trainer. The chance of a surprise is therefore definitely there. The bottom line is that we decide between Napoli and Perugia for a tip that the “Azzurri” wins and a maximum of three goals in the course of the game. A 1: 0, 2: 0 or 3: 0 is just as possible as a close 2: 1 success.
Competition: Coppa Italia
Date: January 14, 2020
Betting Tips: Napoli & under 3.5