Sunk in the relegation zone, Avaí throws his last hopes of falling to Segundona this Wednesday, 8 of November. At the Ressacada stadium, in Florianópolis, the team from Santa Catarina hosts Bahia. The game opens the thirty-third round of the edition of the Brazilian Championship season 2017. The beginning is scheduled for 19:30 (Brasília time).
Avaí’s recent performance
The home team are shaken by the rout suffered the previous day. Against Coritiba, in Paraná, took 4 to 0. Thus, remained parked with 35 points (eight wins, 11 ties and 13 losses). He fell to the nineteenth (penultimate) placement.
Although not good, the situation is not irreversible. Avaí’s score is the same as Ponte Preta (eighteenth placed) and Vitória (seventeenth), who take advantage only in the tiebreaker criteria, and presents only one point disadvantage when compared to the Sport, sixteenth and first out of the recess area.
However, two factors contribute to the fact that the fans do not put much faith in their team. Recent performance is far from exciting. In the last seven matches, the team won only once, drew two matches and suffered four defeats.
The worst of this scenario is the great difficulty that Avaí presents to win the games he performs in his stadium. The team had 16 starting matches and managed to score 75% of them. But the victories were only three.
Although often able to even dominate opponents, putting the ball in the net has been a constant obstacle. With 22 goals scored in 32 rounds, Avaí has the worst attack of the Brasileirão.
As he has not gotten the answers he needs within the four lines given the limited cast offered by Avaí’s top scorers, coach Claudinei Oliveira has appealed to external factors in an attempt to reverse the situation. He asked for the massive support of the fans to try to gain extra strength.
Should not make major changes in the team. The only right change is the departure of right-back Leandro Silva. He is suspended due to the accumulation of yellow cards. The biggest candidate for the job is Maicon, but Diego can also be the chosen one.
The current form of Bahia
With three wins in the last five games, Bahia was able to breathe in relief in the fight against relegation. By beating Ponte Preta by 2 to 0 on Sunday, November 5, he practically got rid of the threat. With 42 points (11 wins, 9 draws and 12 losses), he took tenth place.
According to the mathematicians’ projections, only three points out of 18 that are in dispute would be enough to guarantee the permanence of the Bahian tricolor in Serie A. However, an even more optimistic look can cause Bahia to aim at a higher goal .
At first, the Brazilian Championship offers the possibility of playing the 2018 Copa Libertadores of America for the top six places. This block was increased to seven with the conquest of the Brazil Cup title by Cruzeiro. However, it can grow even more if Grêmio win the current edition of the continental tournament and Flamengo win the title of the South American Cup.
These events could cause the G6 to be transformed into G9. In this case, Bahia has a real chance to fight for the spot since it is only one point behind São Paulo, ninth place. Even eighth place, which is occupied by Vasco with 45 points, is not out of the question.
In pursuit of the objective, coach Paulo César Carpegianni said he intends to repeat the strategy used against the Bridge when he put only a steering wheel of contention in the team guaranteeing more creativity and offensiveness to the sector with the entry of the Argentine Allione, who must be maintained between the headlines.
History of the bouts between Avaí and Bahia
The Avaí never managed to beat Bahia in Serie A do Brasileirão. The meetings were little, only four, but ended with two Bahian wins and two draws. In the first round of the season 2017, there was equality by 1 to 1.
The rout against Coritiba can be considered a point outside Avaí’s performance curve that, despite the great technical limitations and to have passed the majority of the Brasileirão in the relegation zone, manages to show a solid team. However, at no time did he show signs of achieving evolution in the matter of putting the ball in the net.
Bahia, on the other hand, has taken significant steps in improving not only the quality of the football but also the results since Carpegianni, the club’s fourth coach in the 2017 season, took over. The advantage with the coach is 61%.
The draw is a good guess for the confrontation. It has a price of 3,10 in Bet365. Success of home owners yields 2.45 and visitor victory paid 3.00 per invested real.